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UkraineAtWar | 20Jun2014 | Guiseppe Stilo(?) [updated 06Jul2014, ... , 09Oct2014,
Donbas Maps as of 20Jun2014
At 22:00 hrs (Friday) 20Jun2014, President Petro Poroshenko declared a
seven-day ceasefire to the Anti-Terrorist Operations (ATO) of the
Ukrainian Army against the terrorists-separatists in the Donetsk and
Luhansk oblasts. The five maps below indicate the location of the
terrorist and Ukrainian forces in the region of conflict as of
Stilo: My interpretation of today's [20Jun2014] events
Russia invaded Ukraine with 25-50 vehicles today.
Earlier it had already sent three tanks and a GRAD unit.
After the downing of the
IL-76 Ukraine vowed to close the borders. It pushed hard on three areas
as can be seen on this map:
Blue dotted line = border with Russia; Green
line = natural barrier by river; Red dotted line
= approximate rebel area; Small blue
circles = Army bases
Blue #1 and #2: bases of Ukrainian army
At point #3, the Ukrainian army tried to break through
the natural barrier to try to cut of the eastern connection of
supply and reinforcements means Slovyansk will fall.
At point #4 the army tried to break through the natural
barrier to try to secure the borders from the North.
At point #5 they try to recapture the border crossings
from the South. Actually they were quite successful at it.
The response from Russia is this:
At red point #1 there were paratroopers drop and an
attack towards the border post. This is to cut off army group blue #5.
they are cut off, they will need to surrender or will be destroyed.
Across the yellow line substantial reinforcements entered
the area. I suspect the initial group to have been divided into three
because the later sightings did not have all the vehicles that were
The column (or what was left of it) has been seen in
Horlivka the last. Three things can happen:
Red #2 the airfield of Donetsk will be attacked, because
will need airports.
Red #3 the penetrating Ukrainian force in the North-West will
be countered. This is a very logical thing. It will happen.
Red #4 Lugansk airport will be captured and the northern army
Red #5 the southern border attack force (blue #5) will be cut
off, attacked and/or destroyed.
Since the borders are far from closed, Putin will bring
in as many forces as needed to repel the advance of the army and to
control of the borders.
With control of the borders, the entire Russian army
might eventually drive in.
Interactive map of "live" combat zones in Donbas region.
is about the maximum
encroachment of Ukrainian ATO forces onto territory controlled by the
This map denotes a major setback to the area
controlled by the Ukrainian ATO forces.
maps of Donbas area from 16Jun2014 to 09Sep2014.
[updated 19Sep2014] http://mediarnbo.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/19-09.jpg
ATO forces abandon area south of the Siversky Donets river
near Shchastya (west and north of Luhansk).
Mariupol, ATO forces have abandoned the area east of the Kalmius river,
which flows from Donetsk to Mariupol.
ATO forces abandon a large area to the west of the Kalmius
River between Donetsk and Hranitne.
map does not show this
Area NE of Mariupol and Yasynuvata NE of Donetsk abandoned;
Pisky near airport and Debaltseve pocket still holding.
boundaries have remained more or less stable throughout the rest of
Poroshenko has established 7 checkpoints into the Russian
terrorist/separatist controlled territory.
South of Donetsk, major westward incursion of Russian
[updated 14Jan2015] http://mediarnbo.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/14-01.jpg South of Donetsk, further major westward incursion of Russian
terrorist/separatist forces down to Hranitne.
[updated 19Feb2015] http://mediarnbo.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/19-02.jpg As a result of Minsk-2 agreement on 12Feb2015 and withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from Debaltseve on 18Feb2014,
Russia has full control of the Donbas area south of
Luhansk and east of Donetsk.