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UkraineAtWar | 20Jun2014 | Guiseppe Stilo(?)  [updated 06Jul2014, ... , 09Oct2014, 14Jan2015, 19Feb2015]

Donbas Maps as of 20Jun2014

At 22:00 hrs (Friday) 20Jun2014, President Petro Poroshenko declared a seven-day ceasefire to the Anti-Terrorist Operations (ATO) of the Ukrainian Army against the terrorists-separatists in the Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts. The five maps below indicate the location of the terrorist and Ukrainian forces in the region of conflict as of 20Jun2014.


Guiseppe Stilo: My interpretation of today's [20Jun2014] events
Russia invaded Ukraine with 25-50 vehicles today.
Earlier it had already sent three tanks and a GRAD unit.

After the downing of the IL-76 Ukraine vowed to close the borders. It pushed hard on three areas as can be seen on this map:
Donbas20140620Map3.jpg  [BLUE]
Blue dotted line = border with Russia; Green line = natural barrier by river; Red dotted line = approximate rebel area; Small blue circles = Army bases
Blue #1 and #2: bases of Ukrainian army
At point #3, the Ukrainian army tried to break through the natural barrier to try to cut of the eastern connection of Slovyansk. No supply and reinforcements means Slovyansk will fall.
At point #4 the army tried to break through the natural barrier to try to secure the borders from the North.
At point #5 they try to recapture the border crossings from the South. Actually they were quite successful at it.

The response from Russia is this:
Donbas20140620Map4.jpg   [RED]
At red point #1 there were paratroopers drop and an attack towards the border post. This is to cut off army group blue #5. When they are cut off, they will need to surrender or will be destroyed.
Across the yellow line substantial reinforcements entered the area. I suspect the initial group to have been divided into three groups, because the later sightings did not have all the vehicles that were reported to have entered.
The column (or what was left of it) has been seen in Horlivka the last. Three things can happen:
Red #2 the airfield of Donetsk will be attacked, because they will need airports.
Red #3 the penetrating Ukrainian force in the North-West will be countered. This is a very logical thing. It will happen.
Red #4 Lugansk airport will be captured and the northern army stopped.
Red #5 the southern border attack force (blue #5) will be cut off, attacked and/or destroyed.
Since the borders are far from closed, Putin will bring in as many forces as needed to repel the advance of the army and to keep control of the borders.
With control of the borders, the entire Russian army might eventually drive in.

[updated 06Jul2014]
http://texty.org.ua/mod/datavis/apps/atomap/ Interactive map of "live" combat zones in Donbas region.

[updated 08Jul2014]

[updated 20Jul2014]

[updated 22Jul2014]

[updated 28Jul2014]
Donbas20140728Map.jpg  [English]

[updated 31Jul2014]
Donbas20140731MapE.jpg  [English]

[updated 02Aug2014]

[updated 10Aug2014]
Donbas20140810MapE.jpg  [English]

[updated 15Aug2014]            This is about the maximum encroachment of Ukrainian ATO forces onto territory controlled by the Russian terrorists/separatists.

[updated 23Aug2014]

[updated 30Aug2014]

[updated 03Sep2014]    http://mediarnbo.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/03-09.jpg    This map denotes a major setback to the area controlled by the Ukrainian ATO forces.

[added 27Sep2014]    http://texty.org.ua/pg/article/editorial/read/55857/Nastup_i_vidstup_nashyh_vijsk_Jak_zminuvavsa  Thumbnail maps of Donbas area from 16Jun2014 to 09Sep2014.

[updated 11Sep2014]    http://mediarnbo.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/11-09.jpg

[updated 19Sep2014]  http://mediarnbo.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/19-09.jpg   ATO forces abandon area south of the Siversky Donets river near Shchastya (west and north of Luhansk).
Donbas20140919Map.jpg                                                                 Except near Mariupol, ATO forces have abandoned the area east of the Kalmius river, which flows from Donetsk to Mariupol.

[updated 03Oct2014]  http://mediarnbo.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/03-10.jpg   ATO forces abandon a large area to the west of the Kalmius River between Donetsk and Hranitne.
Donbas20141003Map.jpg                                                                                          (The 04Oct2014 map does not show this large bulge.)

[updated 09Oct2014]  http://mediarnbo.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/09-10.jpg   Area NE of Mariupol and Yasynuvata NE of Donetsk abandoned; Pisky near airport and Debaltseve pocket still holding.
Donbas20141009Map.jpg                                                                                         These boundaries have remained more or less stable throughout the rest of 2014.

[updated 06Jan2015]  http://mediarnbo.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/06-01.jpg   Poroshenko has established 7 checkpoints into the Russian terrorist/separatist controlled territory.

[updated 11Jan2015]  http://mediarnbo.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/11-01.jpg  South of Donetsk, major westward incursion of Russian terrorist/separatist forces.

[updated 14Jan2015]  http://mediarnbo.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/14-01.jpg  South of Donetsk, further major westward incursion of Russian terrorist/separatist forces down to Hranitne.

[updated 19Feb2015]  http://mediarnbo.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/19-02.jpg   As a result of Minsk-2 agreement on 12Feb2015 and withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from Debaltseve on 18Feb2014,
Donbas20150219Map.jpg                                                                                            Russia has full control of the Donbas area south of Luhansk and east of Donetsk.